Approval movement appears distributed across non-adjacent filing periods.
PeriodActivity#Wait
Sep 2026
4Insufficient sample
Aug 2026
1455d
Jul 2026
1931–41d
Jun 2026
2061–50d
May 2026
1921–99d
Apr 2026
2591–89d
Mar 2026
1941–70d
Feb 2026
2961–65d
Jan 2026
6501–75d
Dec 2025
285d
Nov 2025
628d
Oct 2025
742–33d
Sep 2025
4Insufficient sample
Jun 2025
1Insufficient sample
Feb 2025
1Insufficient sample
Jan 2025
106d
Active (last 30 days)
Historical
4 active cohorts
Form 1 · Trust waits changed direction — rose from 52 to 83 days between Mar 2026 and Jul 2026, then fell to 30 in Aug 2026. No single monthly rate covers both legs.
Form 4 · Trust waits changed direction — rose from 27 to 31 days between Mar 2026 and Jul 2026, then fell to 21 in Aug 2026. No single monthly rate covers both legs.
Movement pressure concentrated near August 2026. Localized activation — cohort compression has not yet dissipated.
QueueFragmented—Approval movement is scattered across multiple non-contiguous filing periods.
Cohort Activity Map
Two queue surfaces — shared scale, shared timeline, synchronized hover
All↔All
Frontier:Jul 2026
regime: fragmenting · trajectory: slowing
All
context ↑
↔
All
FewerMore approvals— shared scale
HoverSyncFrontier
Queue Intelligence
90-day window
Operational FrontierThe oldest filing months still getting approvals — how far back the ATF is currently working.
Oldest filing months still seeing meaningful recent approvals
Form 4 · IndividualAug 2026
Form 4 · TrustJul 2026
Form 1 · IndividualAug 2026
Form 1 · TrustJun 2026
Active CohortsHow many different filing months saw at least one approval in the last 30 days.
Filing months with recent approvals in the last 30 days
Form 44
Form 15
Combined5
90-Day Wait Distribution
Typical range · median · by filing type
Form 1 · Individual
514 approvals
28dmedianThe middle wait — half were faster, half slower (used instead of an average so one extreme case doesn't skew it).·6–62d typical rangeThe middle half of waits — the fastest 25% and the slowest 25% are left out. Also called the IQR, or interquartile range.
Form 4 · Individual
349 approvals
5dmedianThe middle wait — half were faster, half slower (used instead of an average so one extreme case doesn't skew it).
·
3–8d typical rangeThe middle half of waits — the fastest 25% and the slowest 25% are left out. Also called the IQR, or interquartile range.
Form 4 · Trust
258 approvals
27dmedianThe middle wait — half were faster, half slower (used instead of an average so one extreme case doesn't skew it).·14–33d typical rangeThe middle half of waits — the fastest 25% and the slowest 25% are left out. Also called the IQR, or interquartile range.
Form 1 · Trust
252 approvals
69dmedianThe middle wait — half were faster, half slower (used instead of an average so one extreme case doesn't skew it).·29–82d typical rangeThe middle half of waits — the fastest 25% and the slowest 25% are left out. Also called the IQR, or interquartile range.
Typical range = the middle half of waits. It leaves out the fastest 25% and the slowest 25%.
Approval Snapshot
Recent approvals reflect relatively short pending durations across reported filings.
Form 1·Individual
Median wait28d
Typical range6–62d
Approvals514
Form 4·Individual
Median wait5d
Typical range3–8d
Approvals349
Form 4·Trust
Median wait27d
Typical range14–33d
Approvals258
Form 1·Trust
Median wait69d
Typical range29–82d
Approvals252
Last 90 days by ATF approval date · 1,373 approvals
Median = half waited less, half more. Typical range = the middle 50% of filers (25th–75th percentile). Active = approved in the last 30 days.
NFA Tracker — ATF Approval Wait Times | NFA Watch
Right now most Form 4 individual e-files clear in about 5 days; Form 1 filings are running about 28 days. Enter your own filing below to see where you stand.