QueueAdvancing—Approvals are concentrated in September 2026 filings — the queue is processing relatively recent submissions.
Form 1 · Trust waits changed direction — rose from 52 to 83 days between Mar 2026 and Jul 2026, then fell to 30 in Aug 2026. No single monthly rate covers both legs.
Form 1 · Individual waits changed direction — rose from 52 to 69 days between Mar 2026 and Jun 2026, then fell to 5 in Aug 2026. No single monthly rate covers both legs.
Movement pressure concentrated near September 2026. Localized activation — cohort compression has not yet dissipated.
Cohort Activity Map
Two queue surfaces — shared scale, shared timeline, synchronized hover
All↔All
Frontier:Aug 2026
regime: volatile · trajectory: slowing
All · TX
context ↑
↔
All
FewerMore approvals— shared scale
HoverSyncFrontier
Queue Intelligence
90-day window
Operational FrontierThe oldest filing months still getting approvals — how far back the ATF is currently working.
Oldest filing months still seeing meaningful recent approvals
Form 4 · IndividualAug 2026
Form 4 · TrustAug 2026
Form 1 · IndividualAug 2026
Form 1 · TrustAug 2026
Active CohortsHow many different filing months saw at least one approval in the last 30 days.
Filing months with recent approvals in the last 30 days
Form 43
Form 12
Combined3
90-Day Wait Distribution
Typical range · median · by filing type
Form 1 · Individual
476 approvals
22dmedianThe middle wait — half were faster, half slower (used instead of an average so one extreme case doesn't skew it).·5–51d typical rangeThe middle half of waits — the fastest 25% and the slowest 25% are left out. Also called the IQR, or interquartile range.
Form 4 · Individual
291 approvals
5dmedianThe middle wait — half were faster, half slower (used instead of an average so one extreme case doesn't skew it).
·
3–8d typical rangeThe middle half of waits — the fastest 25% and the slowest 25% are left out. Also called the IQR, or interquartile range.
Form 4 · Trust
235 approvals
24dmedianThe middle wait — half were faster, half slower (used instead of an average so one extreme case doesn't skew it).·9–32d typical rangeThe middle half of waits — the fastest 25% and the slowest 25% are left out. Also called the IQR, or interquartile range.
Form 1 · Trust
214 approvals
55dmedianThe middle wait — half were faster, half slower (used instead of an average so one extreme case doesn't skew it).·15–83d typical rangeThe middle half of waits — the fastest 25% and the slowest 25% are left out. Also called the IQR, or interquartile range.
Typical range = the middle half of waits. It leaves out the fastest 25% and the slowest 25%.
Approval distribution by filing week
All types
Filing week
Approvals
Median
Typical range
Active
Sep 14–20, 2026
21
2d
2–3d
21
Sep 7–13
31
2d
2–3d
31
Aug 31–Sep 6
39
2d
2–4d
39
Aug 24–30
58
3d
2–5d
55
Aug 17–23
58
3d
2–4d
8
Aug 10–16
88
5d
3–8d
7
Aug 3–9
79
5d
4–8d
2
Jul 27–Aug 2
82
6d
4–9d
2
Jul 20–26
86
11d
5–15d
1
Jul 13–19
70
16d
13–24d
1
Jul 6–12
82
19d
8–23d
—
Jun 29–Jul 5
71
21d
13–28d
—
Jun 22–28
68
22d
6–32d
—
Jun 15–21
68
32d
5–38d
—
Jun 8–14
95
34d
6–38d
—
Jun 1–7
73
22d
7–46d
—
May 25–31
68
35d
7–53d
—
May 18–24
77
15d
5–52d
—
May 11–17
89
33d
9–65d
—
May 4–10
71
32d
7–73d
—
Apr 27–May 3
85
37d
9–77d
—
Apr 20–26
90
21d
8–79d
—
Apr 13–19
88
26d
6–72d
—
Apr 6–12
126
36d
8–78d
—
Mar 30–Apr 5
105
36d
16–73d
—
Mar 23–29
51
70d
30–73d
—
Median = half waited less, half more. Typical range = the middle 50% of filers (25th–75th percentile). Active = approved in the last 30 days.
Recent approvals reflect relatively short pending durations across reported filings.
Form 4·Trust
Median wait24d
Typical range9–34d
Approvals65
Form 1·Individual
Median wait15d
Typical range5–42d
Approvals59
Form 4·Individual
Median wait6d
Typical range4–13d
Approvals36
Form 1·Trust
Median wait62d
Typical range12–81d
Approvals35
Last 90 days by ATF approval date · 195 approvals(filtered)
Approval Activity Signal
context: TX
Approval activity below normal range
Monitoring Form 4 and Form 1 recent approvals
Last approval
1d ago
Signal strength
↓ Below baseline
Detection window
10 recent · 183 prior 76d
4,227 approvals tracked across 47 states
Latest reported approval: yesterday
NFA Tracker — ATF Approval Wait Times | NFA Watch
Right now most Form 4 individual e-files clear in about 3 days; Form 1 filings are running about 2 days. Enter your own filing below to see where you stand.