Approval signal distributed across 5 active cohort windows. Broad-front advancement detected — no dominant compression zone.
Form 4 Trust frontier trails Individual by 1 month. Persistent pathway separation — trust gap remains observable.
QueueBroadening—Activity is distributed across 4 active filing cohorts, with the frontier at April 2026.
Approval Activity Signal
Slight slowdown in approval activity
Monitoring Form 4 and Form 1 recent approvals
Last approval
1d ago
Signal strength
↓ Below baseline
Detection window
113 recent · 1063 prior 76d
Queue Intelligence
90-day window
Operational FrontierThe oldest filing months still getting approvals — how far back the ATF is currently working.
Oldest filing months still seeing meaningful recent approvals
Form 4 · IndividualJun 2026
Form 4 · TrustMay 2026
Form 1 · IndividualApr 2026
Form 1 · TrustMar 2026
Active CohortsHow many different filing months saw at least one approval in the last 30 days.
Filing months with recent approvals in the last 30 days
Form 44
Form 14
Combined5
90-Day Wait Distribution
Typical range · median · by filing type
Form 4 · Individual
374 approvals
6dmedianThe middle wait — half were faster, half slower (used instead of an average so one extreme case doesn't skew it).·4–9d typical rangeWhere the middle 50% of waits fell — most people landed in this range.
Form 1 · Individual
345 approvals
63dmedianThe middle wait — half were faster, half slower (used instead of an average so one extreme case doesn't skew it).
·
59–68d typical rangeWhere the middle 50% of waits fell — most people landed in this range.
Form 4 · Trust
248 approvals
28dmedianThe middle wait — half were faster, half slower (used instead of an average so one extreme case doesn't skew it).·21–34d typical rangeWhere the middle 50% of waits fell — most people landed in this range.
Form 1 · Trust
222 approvals
69dmedianThe middle wait — half were faster, half slower (used instead of an average so one extreme case doesn't skew it).·64–76d typical rangeWhere the middle 50% of waits fell — most people landed in this range.
3,111 approvals tracked across 47 states
Latest reported approval: yesterday
Cohort Density
Approval distribution by filing week
All types
Filing week
Approvals
Median
Typical range
Active
Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
10
9d
7–9d
10
Jun 22–28
26
5d
4–7d
26
Jun 15–21
28
4d
2–7d
28
Jun 8–14
35
5d
3–6d
33
Jun 1–7
45
7d
5–19d
24
May 25–31
40
8d
6–26d
16
May 18–24
56
8d
4–21d
14
May 11–17
58
13d
7–33d
20
May 4–10
44
12d
4–23d
7
Apr 27–May 3
51
10d
6–26d
8
Apr 20–26
66
14d
6–23d
8
Apr 13–19
84
19d
6–68d
26
Apr 6–12
124
36d
8–78d
40
Mar 30–Apr 5
105
36d
16–73d
36
Mar 23–29
95
66d
29–73d
11
Mar 16–22
97
62d
22–68d
—
Mar 9–15
111
42d
13–65d
—
Mar 2–8
112
36d
7–64d
—
Feb 23–Mar 1
113
25d
4–63d
—
Feb 16–22
130
28d
4–62d
—
Feb 9–15
138
57d
13–61d
—
Feb 2–8
93
23d
8–28d
—
Jan 26–Feb 1
124
27d
15–46d
—
Jan 19–25
172
31d
17–53d
—
Jan 12–18
250
36d
20–48d
—
Jan 5–11
136
26d
15–41d
—
Median = half waited less, half more. Typical range = the middle 50% of filers (25th–75th percentile). Active = approved in the last 30 days.
Cohort Activity Map
Two queue surfaces — shared scale, shared timeline, synchronized hover