Recent approvals are concentrated around Aug 2026 and Jul 2026 filings.
PeriodActivity#Wait
Sep 2026
212d
Aug 2026
1495d
Jul 2026
1931–41d
Jun 2026
2061–50d
May 2026
1921–99d
Apr 2026
2591–89d
Mar 2026
1941–70d
Feb 2026
2961–65d
Jan 2026
6501–75d
Dec 2025
285d
Nov 2025
628d
Oct 2025
742–33d
Sep 2025
4Insufficient sample
Jun 2025
1Insufficient sample
Feb 2025
1Insufficient sample
Jan 2025
106d
Active (last 30 days)
Historical
3 active cohorts
Form 1 · Trust waits changed direction — rose from 52 to 83 days between Mar 2026 and Jul 2026, then fell to 30 in Aug 2026. No single monthly rate covers both legs.
Form 4 · Trust waits changed direction — rose from 27 to 31 days between Mar 2026 and Jul 2026, then fell to 21 in Aug 2026. No single monthly rate covers both legs.
Approval signal distributed across 5 active cohort windows. Broad-front advancement detected — no dominant compression zone.
QueueAdvancing—Approvals are concentrated in August 2026 filings — the queue is processing relatively recent submissions.
Cohort Activity Map
Two queue surfaces — shared scale, shared timeline, synchronized hover
All↔All
Frontier:Aug 2026
regime: volatile · trajectory: slowing
All
context ↑
↔
All
FewerMore approvals— shared scale
HoverSyncFrontier
Queue Intelligence
90-day window
Operational FrontierThe oldest filing months still getting approvals — how far back the ATF is currently working.
Oldest filing months still seeing meaningful recent approvals
Form 4 · IndividualAug 2026
Form 4 · TrustJul 2026
Form 1 · IndividualAug 2026
Form 1 · TrustJul 2026
Active CohortsHow many different filing months saw at least one approval in the last 30 days.
Filing months with recent approvals in the last 30 days
Form 43
Form 15
Combined5
90-Day Wait Distribution
Typical range · median · by filing type
Form 1 · Individual
496 approvals
23dmedianThe middle wait — half were faster, half slower (used instead of an average so one extreme case doesn't skew it).·5–56d typical rangeThe middle half of waits — the fastest 25% and the slowest 25% are left out. Also called the IQR, or interquartile range.
Form 4 · Individual
327 approvals
5dmedianThe middle wait — half were faster, half slower (used instead of an average so one extreme case doesn't skew it).
·
3–8d typical rangeThe middle half of waits — the fastest 25% and the slowest 25% are left out. Also called the IQR, or interquartile range.
Form 4 · Trust
253 approvals
26dmedianThe middle wait — half were faster, half slower (used instead of an average so one extreme case doesn't skew it).·13–33d typical rangeThe middle half of waits — the fastest 25% and the slowest 25% are left out. Also called the IQR, or interquartile range.
Form 1 · Trust
231 approvals
65dmedianThe middle wait — half were faster, half slower (used instead of an average so one extreme case doesn't skew it).·22–83d typical rangeThe middle half of waits — the fastest 25% and the slowest 25% are left out. Also called the IQR, or interquartile range.
Typical range = the middle half of waits. It leaves out the fastest 25% and the slowest 25%.
Approval Activity Signal
Approval activity below normal range
Monitoring Form 4 and Form 1 recent approvals
Last approval
1d ago
Signal strength
↓ Below baseline
Detection window
78 recent · 1220 prior 76d
Approval distribution by filing week
All types
Filing week
Approvals
Median
Typical range
Active
Sep 7–13, 2026
6
2d
2–2d
6
Aug 31–Sep 6
33
2d
2–4d
33
Aug 24–30
58
3d
2–5d
58
Aug 17–23
54
3d
2–4d
54
Aug 10–16
88
5d
3–8d
80
Aug 3–9
79
5d
4–8d
27
Jul 27–Aug 2
82
6d
4–9d
17
Jul 20–26
86
11d
5–15d
16
Jul 13–19
70
16d
13–24d
13
Jul 6–12
81
19d
8–23d
3
Jun 29–Jul 5
71
21d
13–28d
5
Jun 22–28
68
22d
6–32d
5
Jun 15–21
68
32d
5–38d
—
Jun 8–14
95
34d
6–38d
—
Jun 1–7
73
22d
7–46d
—
May 25–31
68
35d
7–53d
—
May 18–24
77
15d
5–52d
—
May 11–17
89
33d
9–65d
1
May 4–10
71
32d
7–73d
—
Apr 27–May 3
85
37d
9–77d
—
Apr 20–26
90
21d
8–79d
—
Apr 13–19
88
26d
6–72d
—
Apr 6–12
126
36d
8–78d
—
Mar 30–Apr 5
105
36d
16–73d
—
Mar 23–29
95
66d
29–73d
—
Mar 16–22
100
63d
23–68d
—
Median = half waited less, half more. Typical range = the middle 50% of filers (25th–75th percentile). Active = approved in the last 30 days.
Approval Snapshot
Recent approvals reflect relatively short pending durations across reported filings.
Form 1·Individual
Median wait23d
Typical range5–56d
Approvals496
Form 4·Individual
Median wait5d
Typical range3–8d
Approvals327
Form 4·Trust
Median wait26d
Typical range13–33d
Approvals253
Form 1·Trust
Median wait65d
Typical range22–83d
Approvals231
Last 90 days by ATF approval date · 1,307 approvals
NFA Tracker — ATF Approval Wait Times | NFA Watch
Right now most Form 4 individual e-files clear in about 5 days; Form 1 filings are running about 23 days. Enter your own filing below to see where you stand.